Articles

Golf betting strategy, expected value explained, and how to find edges.

model-recap2026-03-235 min

Hainan Classic 2026: Gumberg Survives for Second DP World Tour Title

Jordan Gumberg wins 2026 Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO at 19-under. Complete DP World Tour tournament results, final leaderboard, and golf betting analysis.

model-recap2026-03-236 min

Valspar Championship 2026: Fitzpatrick Ends Drought at Copperhead

Matt Fitzpatrick wins 2026 Valspar Championship at Copperhead Course. Complete tournament recap, final leaderboard, and golf betting model performance (+10.61u, 8.8% ROI).

model-recap2026-03-176 min

The Players Championship 2026: Cameron Young Wins at TPC Sawgrass

Cameron Young wins at TPC Sawgrass as Åberg collapses. Our model went 44-79-8 with pre-tournament slate delivering strong value despite challenging round-by-round results.

model-recap2026-03-095 min

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2026: Model Performance Recap

Complete breakdown of our model's performance at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Near-breakeven week highlighted by elite Top 10 edge identification.

model-recap2026-03-094 min

Joburg Open 2026: Model Performance Recap

Profitable +0.73u performance at the 2026 Joburg Open. Make Cut market delivered strong volume edge on the DP World Tour.

model-recap2026-03-094 min

Puerto Rico Open 2026: Model Performance Recap

Strong +2.01u performance at the 2026 Puerto Rico Open. Top 20 and Make Cut markets delivered consistent edge in an opposite-field event.

model-recap2026-03-027 min

Cognizant Classic 2026: Model Performance Breakdown

Honest breakdown of our model's performance at the 2026 Cognizant Classic. Still up big in 2026 despite a rough week - here's what we learned and how we're improving.

recap2026-03-024 min

Lowry's Bear Trap Meltdown Hands Echavarria Third PGA Tour Win

Shane Lowry led by 3 with 3 to play at the Cognizant Classic. Two water balls on 16 and 17 later, Nico Echavarria had his third PGA Tour win. Full recap and model performance analysis.

model-recap2026-03-025 min

South African Open 2026: Model Performance Breakdown

Our model crushed the South African Open with 84-102 record and +$846 profit. Round matchups went 36-15, leading the way to a profitable week.

recap2026-03-024 min

Jarvis Goes Back-to-Back, Punches Ticket to Augusta

Casey Jarvis wins the Investec South African Open just one week after his Kenya Open victory, earning invites to both the Masters and The Open Championship.

strategy2026-02-035 min

What is Expected Value in Golf Betting?

Learn how expected value works in golf betting, why it matters more than picking winners, and how to find +EV bets using model probabilities vs sportsbook odds.